So, Sunday is BAFTA. I was going to wait and post these tomorrow, but I forgot I have a lot of crap to do and probably won't be around my computer. So, that brings me to now and the fact that I have no idea what the hell is going to happen. This will be the last precursor to give us any idea of what is going to happen on Oscar night. BAFTA doesn't always line up, but it can give us an idea of who is getting last minute support (look at BAFTA wins for Cotillard, Swinton and Streep) so when you have a tight race this can be a determining factor. They also like to award their own, so even in a not so tight race, you can see one of their favorites emerge as the victor (look at Firth).
So, what am I currently predicting? I see Les Mis, Argo and Amour doing well here. Les Miserables is the biggest British film in like forever and it is a technical marvel, so I see it taking home some big wins in areas where one may assume Anna Karenina or Lincoln could upset. I also think it is taking British Film rather easily. I know some think Skyfall could upset here, but Les Miserables made it into BOTH British and Best Picture races, so it's winning. I think that this could be the start of the Haneke train. Like I said before, Argo is winning Best Picture and so those checking that box on Oscar morning NEED to find an alternate film to honor in Directing. I can easily see them rewarding Haneke here. Sure, if they check the Lincoln box in picture then they'll be checking the Spielberg box in Director, but we're talking about those voting for Argo. I don't think anyone thinks Spielberg needs a third directing Oscar, especially if they don't think his film is the best of the year.
So here are my predictions. I included my alternates, as per always.
Best Film
Winner: Argo
Alternate: Les Miserables
Best Director
Winner: Haneke/Amour
Alternate: Affleck/Argo
Best Leading Actor
Winner: Day-Lewis/Lincoln
Alternate: Jackman/Les Miserables
Best Leading Actress
Winner: Riva/Amour
Alternate: Lawrence/Silver Linings Playbook
Best Supporting Actor
Winner: Waltz/Django Unchained
Alternate: Hoffman/The Master
Best Supporting Actress
Winner: Hathaway/Les Miserables
Alternate: Dench/Skyfall
Best Original Screenplay
Winner: Amour
Alternate: Django Unchained
Best Adapted Screenplay
Winner: Argo
Alternate: Lincoln
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Outstanding British Film
Winner: Les Miserables
Alternate: Skyfall
Best Film Not in the English Language
Winner: Amour
Alternate: Rust + Bone
Best Animated Film
Winner: Frankenweenie
Alternate: Brave
Best Documentary
Winner: Searching for Sugar Man
Alternate: The Imposter
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Best Original Music
Winner: Life of Pi
Alternate: Anna Karenina
Best Editing
Winner: Argo
Alternate: Zero Dark Thirty
Best Cinematography
Winner: Anna Karenina
Alternate: Life of Pi
Best Production Design
Winner: Les Miserables
Alternate: Anna Karenina
Best Costume Design
Winner: Anna Karenina
Alternate: Les Miserables
Best Make Up & Hair
Winner: Les Miserables
Alternate: The Hobbit
Best Sound
Winner: Les Miserables
Alternate: Life of Pi
Best Special Visual Effects
Winner: Life of Pi
Alternate: Prometheus
