LOL, no sooner did I hit 'Publish' on my predictions did I get a text that the nominees were announced! So, here they are...and I did...kind of bad!!!
Ensemble:
- Argo
- Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
- Les Miserables
- Lincoln
- Silver Linings Playbook
- Argo
- Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
- Les Miserables
- Lincoln
- Silver Linings Playbook
I got three out of five here, missing Silver Linings Playbook and Best Exotic Marigold Hotel for Django and Moonrise. I woke up feeling like my Django predictions were going to fail. SAG members didn't get screeners and so I had a feeling they didn't get a chance to see the film. Sadly, I went with my initial predictions and not my gut. I thought that Silver Linings Playbook, being basically a three person show, would miss in favor of a true ensemble like Moonrise Kingdom, which I actually thought was doing well so far. Sadly, it was snubbed entirely here.
Actor:
- Cooper (Silver linings)
- Day Lewis (Lincoln)
- Hawkes (Sessions)
- Jackman (Miserables)
- Washington (Flight)
Actor:
- Cooper (Silver linings)
- Day Lewis (Lincoln)
- Hawkes (Sessions)
- Jackman (Miserables)
- Washington (Flight)
I got this one right. I had a feeling that Phoenix would miss here. I still think he'll get in with Oscar, with either Cooper or Hawkes missing.
Actress:
- Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
- Cotillard (R&B)
- Lawrence (Silver linings)
- Mirren (Hitchcock)
- Watts (Impossible)
Actress:
- Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
- Cotillard (R&B)
- Lawrence (Silver linings)
- Mirren (Hitchcock)
- Watts (Impossible)
I'm an idiot. I woke up this morning, convinced that I needed to swap out Riva for Mirren and I just didn't do it. I had a feeling that if Mirren was going to show up anywhere it would be here, but I WANTED Riva to get more traction and so I stuck with her. The rest is as expected. Wallis was not eligable, so she couldn't be here. I'm wondering if she replaced Mirren at the Oscars, or if it will be Riva who does.
S. Actor:
- Arkin (Argo)
- Bardem (Skyfall)
- De Niro (Silver linings)
- Hoffman (Master)
- Jones (Lincoln)
S. Actor:
- Arkin (Argo)
- Bardem (Skyfall)
- De Niro (Silver linings)
- Hoffman (Master)
- Jones (Lincoln)
Well, McConaughey took a serious hit here. He needed this to continue his traction this season. He was doing really well, even winning NYFCC and landing on BFCA's ballot, but this hit is tragic. Bardem was wonderful in Skyfall, but my bias towards him as an actor has me wanting him to miss with Oscar. I know, I'm weird (considering that I may actually nominate him for a Fisti this year). Hoffman was also a surprise for me, since I was banking on a complete Master shutout.
S. Actress:
- Field (Lincoln)
- Hathaway (Miserables)
- Hunt (Sessions)
- Kidman (The Paperboy)
- Smith (Marigold)
S. Actress:
- Field (Lincoln)
- Hathaway (Miserables)
- Hunt (Sessions)
- Kidman (The Paperboy)
- Smith (Marigold)
Well, I think this means that Barks is dead, unless she winds up being that surprise Oscar nominee that no one saw coming. Instead, SAG went with NICOLE KIDMAN!!! I haven't seen The Paperboy, but I hear it is polarizing. Smith was expected from SAG, even though I don't think she's getting the Oscar nomination (at least not at this point). Hathaway should win this in a cakewalk. In fact, critics be damned, Hathaway should take all of the televised awards in a cakewalk.

