Just a few notes:
-I greatly struggled over whether Russell Crowe or Terrence Howard was going to get the fifth, rather uncertain slot (all the others are practically locks). I am settling for Crowe, who had a resurgence with nominations in the Golden Globes and from the SAG (Howard lacks the latter).
-The Best Supporting Actress category is such a pain to predict this year. If you look at the precursor awards, it's a mess! Only Michelle Williams, Frances McDormand, and, to some extent, Rachel Weisz seem to be constants. It's a free-for-all for at least three spots, I think. I have great doubts about Amy Adams, but what the heck.